25.11.2010
Fredrikstad - Hønefoss 2,5 over @1,70
Rezultat: 4:0
Fredrikstad were as predicted the better side away against Hønefoss, but I did chose the wrong pick for the game (Under 2.5 instead of AW).
Now Fredrikstad have a 4-1 lead in front of this final leg, and Hønefoss are not famous for being a attacking side, more the exact opposite.
Hønefoss will have to win by 4 goals, or get the exact result 4-1 to get extra time/penalties.
Fredrikstad can with other words lose by up to 3 goals, and still promote.
However, Fredrikstad have strong defenders to keep Hønefoss from scoring, and they also have quick wingers that can be very dangerous on counter attacks.
Sure, Fredrikstad may be defending this game to the end, and securing their lead, but if Fredrikstad get the first goal, Hønefoss morale and belief in survival will be zero, and Fredrikstad can take advantage of that by doing a good performance in front of a full stadium in promotion celebration mood. Then Fredrikstad might win this game very clearly.